Week 6 – Fantasy Football Thoughts
SUNDAY, OCT. 16, NOON
SAN FRANCISCO (1-4) at BUFFALO (3-2)
STATS: 49ers have lost 4 in a row, while the Bills have won 3 straight. Bills TE Charles Clay has 5 catches in back-to-back games. SF has scored 14 TDs in 5 games. FANTASY: Buffalo’s Dan Carpenter could be a good streaming kicker this week. LeSean McCoy is a workhorse with new OC. QB Colin Kaepernick is back in the lineup – which could be good or bad. Carlos Hyde (6 TDs) and WR Jeremy Kerley (22 targets last 2 weeks) are SF fantasy weapons.
PHILADELPHIA (3-1) at WASHINGTON (3-2)
STATS: Eagles averaging 29 PPG. On defense they’ve allowed only 3 TD passes in 4 games. FANTASY: Philly’s Caleb Sturgis one of top fantasy PK. WR Pierre Garcon has scored in 3 of the last 4 games against the Eagles.
CLEVELAND (0-5) at TENNESSEE (2-3)
STATS: Titans D has allowed only 4 TD passes and has 12 sacks. They are second in the league in rushing. Cleveland D has allowed 2-3 passing TDs a game and are ranked 25th vs the pass. FANTASY: Isaiah Crowell could have a solid game (83.0yard average). Terrelle Pryor might give you some points from the QB spot. DeMarco Murray could go over 100 yards and get a TD. QB Marcus Mariota and TE Delanie Walker could have big days.
BALTIMORE (3-2) at NY GIANTS (2-3)
STATS: Ravens scoring less than 2 TDs per game and Giants are allowing the same. Ravens allowing 18 PPG. Giants have scored 5 TDs in last 4 games.
FANTASY: Terrance West is OK. Steve Smith and Mike Wallace were banged up last week, Wallace on the game’s final play. Odell Beckham Jr., Sterling Shepard and Victor Cruz look better on paper than turf right now. Waiting for Eli Manning to wake up.
CAROLINA (1-4) at NEW ORLEANS (1-3)
STATS: In 4 of 5 games the Saints D has allowed 34 PPG. TE Greg Olsen is on pace to finish the year with 1,651 yards – over 300 more than any other tight end in the history of the league. Carolina has allowed over 20 points a game. FANTASY: QB Cam Newton should play, but how effective will he be to start. Will one hit send him to the bench? A healthy Cam should kill this defense (7 TDs in 2 games last year). QB Drew Brees in last 16 home games he’s averaged 342 yards, with 42 TDs versus 12 interceptions.
JACKSONVILLE (1-3) at CHICAGO (1-4)
STATS: Blake Bortles has thrown for only 194 and 207 yards the last 2 games as the Jags are running more. Bears D has allowed 5 TDs rushing and Jax has 2 scores. Bears have thrown for 300 yards in last 3 games and Jax has allowed 8 TDs in 4 games. FANTASY: Allen Robinson has caught 3 of Bortles 7 TDs. Jordan Howard is the guy to have in this game. Over 110 yards in each of last 2 games. Alshon Jeffery, Cam Meredith and Zach Miller (182 yards, 3 TDs last 3 games) give Brian Hoyer 3 good targets.
LOS ANGELES (3-2) at DETROIT (2-3)
STATS: Rams have 7 TDs in last 3 games. Detroit has allowed 14 TDs in 5 games. Brian Quick has gone for 51-69 yards with 3 TDs in last 3 games. Lions have 10 TD passes out of 12 scores. FANTASY: Todd Gurley (2.7 ave) is a must start. Tavon Austin is getting more involved in the offense. Detroit allowed 12 TDs to TEs last year and 6 already this year (Lance Kendricks?) Theo Riddick is more of a WR than RB and he’s active. Like Matthew Stafford-Marvin Jones.
PITTSBURGH (4-1) at MIAMI (1-4)
STATS: Steelers averaging 4.5 TDs per game. Miami has allowed 8 TDs in 5 games. Miami allowed 6 of 8 TDs to WRs (Antonio Brown time). FANTASY: Le’Veon Bell rushed for 144 yards in his first game and caught 88 yards in his second. Sammie Coates averaging 83 yards a game. Maybe Ryan Tannehill can throw 2 TDs against the Steelers 27th ranked defense. Jarvis Landry has caught at least 7 passes each game.
CINCINNATI (2-3) at NEW ENGLAND (4-1)
STATS: Giovani Bernard’s caught 20 balls for 182 yards, TD in 3 losses. Bengals have allowed 11 TD passes. Andy Dalton has been sacked 17 times. FANTASY: If you have to use a Bengal, use A.J. Green despite his road struggles. Tom Brady should be good for 2 TDs. The TE Twins (Gronk and Martellis) should score. LeGarrette Blount should get in the end zone, but not rush for big stats.
KANSAS CITY (2-2) at OAKLAND (4-1)
STATS: Chiefs are 5-1 the last three years, with at least 20 points in every game against Oakland. Jeremy Maclin had 12 passes for 149 yards and 3 TDs vs. Oakland last year. Andy Reid is 15-2 coming out of byes. KC foes scored more in the air (54 TDs) than on the ground (14) in their last 36 games. FANTASY: Jamaal Charles should cut into Spencer Ware’s touches, but not near the goal line. Michael Crabtree had 8 catches and 2 TDs vs the Chiefs last year.
ATLANTA (4-1) at SEATTLE (3-1)
STATS: The Falcons should score 2-3 TDs even though they are at Seattle. Only 24 passing TDs in 26 home games for Seahawks. Seattle’s allowed 5 TDs to WR in last 20 games. Only 6 teams have allowed more points than Atlanta. FANTASY: Matt Ryan and Julio Jones won’t have huge stats. Devonta Freeman and Tevin Coleman have combined for 200 yards per game, with 8 TDs in five weeks. Russell Wilson should be at full strength. Jimmy Graham has back-to-back 100 yard games and the Falcons have allowed 5 TDs to TE’s this year. Christine Michael and Doug Baldwin also have to start.
DALLAS (4-1) at GREEN BAY (3-1)
STATS: Ezekiel Elliott has 140, 138 and 134 yards rushing and 3 TDs in last 3 games. Packers have top run defense (43 yards a game). FANTASY: I like Cole Beasley and Jason Witten in this game. Dak Prescott will score twice. Aaron Rodgers should score at least twice. Jordy Nelson once. Like Mason Crosby in this game to hit double digits.
INDIANAPOLIS (2-3) at HOUSTON (3-2)
STATS: Colts can’t run the ball, Texans can’t stop the run, but has 13 sacks. Andrew Luck has been sacked 20 times and has lost 2 fumbles. Hmmmm. Houston should score 2 TDs, maybe 3 against this defense. FANTASY: Frank Gore should score. Andrew Luck vs top-ranked passed D. Hmmm again. He’ll toss 2 TDs. T.Y. Hilton is a must start. Adam Vinatieri is the best in the league so far. I see Lamar Miller finally getting in the end zone. A struggling Brock Osweiler shouldn’t start even against this defense. He is holding back DeAndre Hopkins and Will Fuller, but they should start. Like PK Nick Novak.
MONDAY, OCT. 17, 7:30 P.M.
NY JETS (1-4) at ARIZONA (2-3)
STATS: Jets have lost 3 in a row and allow 27 PPG. Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Cards each have 5 TD passes scored and allowed this year, but Arizona has 18 sacks, 7 interceptions – advantage Cards. FANTASY: Matt Forte and Bilal Powell go against the 23rd ranked defense. Brandon Marshall has averaged 6 catches and 102 yards (2 TDs) the last 2 games. All 5 Cards TD passes have gone to WRs. A disappointing Carson Palmer has 6 TDs and averages 289 yards a game while Jets are 31st vs the pass. Play him. Larry Fitzgerald has 5 TDs in 5 games. Could be a good game for John Brown. Play David Johnson, but Jets are second in rushing defense.